1. All politics is local and once again, that is proven true. Here in Los Angeles County, where Clinton carried it strong, the mayor was a campaign co-chair, as well as influential congresswoman Maxine Waters and County supervisor Gloria Molina. That is a large constituency, particularly Latino. I read over at Talking Points Memo that the endorsement of city mayors was the most influential in key cities. I don't doubt it.
2. This election is going to truly ride on this idea: will a movement translate into votes? Meaning, young voters are coming out in droves for Obama and while it appears that no Republican candidates are attempting to acknowledgment their existence, it comes down to the fundamental adage that old votes, young protests. Hence, Clinton can gain more than Obama, especially if yoting drives at colleges haven't yielded positive results.
3. What I think it is going to happen with the Democrats will be a near-mirror of the 2000 election. Remember, America isn't a direct democracy. It isn't majority rules, but rather representative and proportional. If it comes to a brokered convention, the key will be what they call superdelegates; party elites that can vote however the hell they want. So, who will stay with Bill Clinton (because that is what it comes down to) or go to the new guy.
4. I feel like I should apologize on behalf of the national media. They really don't know what they're doing.
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